Futures Intelligence · Vol. II

The trading desk,
rewritten for the retail trader.

Institutional-grade decision support for NQ and ES futures on Topstep — live context, probability forecasts, and the discipline of a professional risk desk, in one private terminal.

Read the tour
Three-day trial · $29 for the first quarter · Cancel at any time
Coverage
NQ · ES · MNQ · MES
Sessions
Asia · London · New York
Latency
Sub-second decisions
Discipline
Adaptive risk caps
Fig. 01The Live Desk — Front Page
Dashboard
Market Summary · NQ
Long bias
Trend

Displacement above the Asian high with institutional volume and VWAP reclaim. Setup quality is high.

Confidence
91
Tier · Strong
Inst Score
82
Above avg
Quality
Elite
Volatility
Medium
ASIALONDONNEW YORK22,17922,18722,19522,20422,212PDH · liquidityTARGET22,168ENTRY22,141STOP22,128LONG · NQconf 91 · 2RNQ · 5mLIVE · CLOSED +2.1R
Last22,207.40
Why the desk took this trade

Asia coiled under PDH liquidity, then swept the high and failed to hold — a textbook fake breakout. Price flushed into demand, printed a displacement candle reclaiming the 5m fair-value gap, and confirmed a market-structure shift. Long at 22,141.25, stop under the swing, target the swept PDH pool.

Result
+$1,070
+26.75 pts · +2.1R · TP filled
Day P/L
+$842
+1.4R
Win Rate
62%
last 30
DD Buffer
$540 / $600
Active Trades
1
NQ · LONG
Recent Decisions
AI
10:34LONG NQ+1.4R
09:52Skipped — econ blackout
09:31LONG NQ+0.8R
09:14Stopped — false displacement−1R
Liquidity Targets
Top 3
PDH22,148.75
Asia High22,156.50
VWAP22,124.00
Fig. 01 — The live trading desk, streaming institutional signals in real time.
Data & Execution Partners
TopstepXStripeSupabaseGoogle AI
The Product · Section A

An institutional research desk, in a single app.

Every surface is engineered for clarity — at a glance, the bias, the setup, the risk, and the next move.

Probability Forecast
LONG NQ · 22,141
Win Probability62%
Loss Probability38%
Reach Target 171%
Reach Target 244%
Full Stop21%
Hold Time11m
Expected MAE−0.34R
Expected MFE+1.62R
AI Trade Analysis

A second opinion before every entry.

Structural bias, confluence, and dynamic targets — explained in plain English.

Institution Score
82
High Participation
RelVol86
VWAP Anchor78
Liquidity Sweeps72
Sweep Reclaim88
Order Flow80
Institution Score

See when the big money shows up.

Fourteen factors — RelVol, VWAP anchor, sweeps, order flow — fused into one figure.

Liquidity Map
Top 6 targets · NQ
PDH
22,148.75
Asia High
22,156.50
VWAP
22,124.00
FVG 5m
22,132.50
POC
22,118.00
PDL
22,089.25
Liquidity Map

Know where price wants to travel.

Ranks 33 liquidity types and surfaces the three highest-probability targets in real time.

Market Regime
Trend
Strong
Trend Strength
0.78
Range Width
Low
Volatility
Medium
Velocity
Rising
Market Regime

Trade the market that is actually in front of you.

Continuously detects trend, range, chop, and volatility tier — and gates entries accordingly.

Trade Journal
Today · 5 trades
10:34LONG NQ+1.4R
09:52Skipped — econ
09:31LONG NQ+0.8R
09:14Stopped−1R
08:48LONG NQ+2.1R
AI recap: Aggressive sizing on the third trade reduced expectancy. Default to tier sizing next session.
Trade Journal

Every trade, filed and explained.

AI postmortems compare predicted probabilities to actual outcomes and surface the leaks.

Session Intelligence
Independent models · 4 sessions
Asia
Mean-Rev
Live
London
Breakout
Idle
NY Open
Trend
Live
NY Lunch
Selective
Standby
Session Intelligence

Four sessions. Four independent minds.

Asia, London, New York Open and Lunch each carry their own confidence model and risk profile.

Economic Calendar
Today · auto-blackouts armed
08:30ISM Manufacturing PMIBlock
10:00JOLTS Job OpeningsBlock
13:0010-Yr Note AuctionBlock
14:00FOMC MinutesBlock
Economic Calendar

Stay out of the wrong moment.

High-impact prints auto-black-out the desk — no surprise CPI ambushes.

Editorial · Section B

The outcomes that compound.

Success measured the way professional desks measure it — quality of decisions and consistency of execution.

No. 01

Understand context faster

Stop staring at indicators. The desk reads structure, flow, and catalysts and tells you what they mean.

No. 02

Trade with consistency

Setup-first rules and adaptive thresholds keep you out of the trades that quietly bleed the account.

No. 03

Improve decision-making

Every trade is forecast across sixteen metrics — and reconciled against the real outcome.

No. 04

Analyze every trade objectively

Auto-journaled. Auto-tagged. AI postmortems that surface patterns you cannot see.

No. 05

Identify strengths and weaknesses

Per-session, per-setup, per-regime — the real edge becomes visible.

No. 06

Adapt to changing conditions

Volatility, regime, and institutional participation continuously retune the system.

Method · Section C

Four steps from sign-up to a clearer trading day.

I.

Connect the account

Link your TopstepX credentials. We stream live market data and — with your consent — execute on your behalf.

II.

Read the tape

Structure, order flow, liquidity and catalysts are fused into a single, calm view of the market.

III.

Receive the plan

Bias, entry, stop, targets, probabilities — with the reasoning that produced them.

IV.

Execute with discipline

Trade manually, or arm the desk to execute under strict risk caps. You keep the final word.

Inside the Desk · Section D

Built for the way professionals actually trade.

The Analyst

A professional trader, sitting beside you.

Bias, entry, structural stop, dynamic targets and alternative scenarios — generated and explained for every setup, in the calm register of a seasoned analyst.

No more second-guessing.

Fig. 02The Analyst
Trade Analysis
Market Context
SessionNY Open
QualityElite
VolatilityMedium
Inst Score82
RegimeTrend
Liquidity Map
PDH92
Asia Hi78
VWAP64
FVG 5m58
POC44
Primary Decision
LONG NQ
Confidence
91

Displacement candle above the Asian high. CVD strong-positive, VWAP reclaimed, and 5m FVG remains unfilled. Risk is structurally defined under the prior swing low.

Entry
22,141.25
Limit · then market
Stop
22,128.50
−12.75 pts
Target
22,168.00
+26.75 pts · 2.1R
AI Reasoning
Tailwinds
  • • Displacement + MSS confirmed
  • • Institutional volume cluster
  • • Trend regime · NY Open
Headwinds
  • • Late session catalyst risk
  • • ES correlation weakening
Confirmations
Liquidity Sweep
MSS
VWAP Trend
Volume Cluster
FVG Unfilled
Session Floor
Econ Clear
Correlation
Risk Panel
Size2 contracts
Risk$255
Kelly0.52
HeatLow
The Ledger

The analytics of a professional desk.

Equity curve, session and regime breakdowns, drawdown shape, calibration accuracy — filterable by every axis that matters.

Understand exactly why you win and lose.

Fig. 03The Ledger
Performance
Net P/L
+$14,820
last 90d
Win Rate
64.2%
142 trades
Avg R
1.18
Profit Factor
2.41
Max DD
−$1,240
Equity Curve
90-day cumulative
1W1M3MAll
By Session
NY Open+$8,420
London+$3,860
Asia+$1,240
NY Lunch+$1,300
Setup Edge
Liquidity Sweep + MSS1.62R
VWAP Trend Cont.1.31R
Value Area Reject0.94R
Opening Drive0.72R
Counter-Trend−0.41R
The Editor

Self-optimising, every single day.

Leak detection, weight-optimisation logs, probability calibration — the desk publishes its own revisions and cites its reasoning.

An edge that compounds with every trade.

Fig. 04The Editor
AI Insights
Today's Brief
The desk has skipped 14 setups since the open — most blocked by the FOMC blackout window. NY participation is now elite; the next two hours show the highest historical edge.
Edge · StrongCalendar · Cleared 14:00Regime · Trend
Leak Detection
Stopping too early on +1R targets−$640 last 30d
Strong edge after 09:45 NY+$2,140 last 30d
Counter-trend on Asia closeAvoid
Probability Calibration
Predicted Win Rate62%
Actual Win Rate64%
Predicted Avg R1.20
Actual Avg R1.18
Brier Score0.18
↑ Calibrated within 2% across last 142 trades
Weight Optimization Log
v8.4 published
+0.07ICT DisplacementUp-tuned · +12% expectancy
+0.04VWAP ReclaimUp-tuned · +6% expectancy
−0.05Counter-TrendDown-tuned · negative R 30d
−0.02Asia Range MidDown-tuned · low sample
Subscription · Section E

One plan. Everything included.

Begin with a three-day free trial. No upsells, no tiers, no surprises.

The Trader · Full Access
$29
per month
first three months

Begins with a three-day free trial. After the introductory quarter, renews at $49 per month. Cancel at any time.

Secure checkout · Stripe
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Included in the subscription

  • §Full AI engine suite
  • §Adaptive confidence + probability forecasts
  • §Institutional participation score
  • §Independent session models
  • §Liquidity map + economic calendar
  • §Performance analytics & journal
  • §Optional ARM auto-execution (TopstepX)
  • §Continuous self-optimisation

3 days
Free trial
$0
Setup fees
1 click
To cancel
Correspondents · Section F

From the desks that use it.

Reserved for verified trader accounts. Filed and published as they are collected — no fabricated testimonials.

Dispatch — Pending
Dispatch — Pending
Dispatch — Pending
Trader dispatches & case studies — forthcoming
Letters to the Editor · Section G

Answers to the common questions.


Futures traders on Topstep / TopstepX who want institutional-grade context before every decision. It is built for serious retail traders running evaluations or funded accounts on NQ and ES.


More questions? main@northscalesites.com
Closing Bell · Editorial

Trade calmer. Decide better.
Publish your own edge.

Join the traders using First Floor to make calmer, clearer, more consistent decisions — every session, every print.

Three-day trial · $29 for the first quarter · $49 thereafter · Cancel any time